Summary statistics

A number of summary statistics concerning the Covid-19 in Canada.

Covid cases

1. Covid cases in Canada

2. Covid cases in Canada compared to selected countries, high-income country group and the world.

3. Comparison of covid cases in 2020-2022 period.

4. Comparison of covid cases in 2023-2025 period.

Covid deaths

3. Covid deaths in Canada

4. Covid deaths in Canada compared to selected countries, high-income country group and the world.

3. Comparison of covid deaths in 2020-2022 period.

4. Comparison of covid deaths in 2023-2025 period.

Covid fatality rate

1. Covid fatality rate in Canada

2. Covid fatality rate in Canada compared to selected countries, high-income country group and the world.

Covid cases in Canada by region

1. Total cases

2. Cases per 100k people

Statistics regarding mental health in Canada by regions

1. Prevalence of population aged 18 years and older who reported high community belonging

2. Perevalence of population aged 18 years and older who reported suicidal ideation

Inferential statistics

A number of inferential statistics concerning the Covid-19 in Canada.

1. Cases forecast for years 2020-2022

Used the SARIMAX model for its simplicity and interpretability for time series data.
Parameter tuning was done with pmarima.arima.auto_arima, seasonality chosen by trial-and-error.
No exogenous values were used.
Final model: SARIMAX(1, 1, 0)x(2, 0, [1], 7).

2. Deaths forecast for years 2020-2022

Used the SARIMAX model for its simplicity and interpretability for time series data.
Parameter tuning was done with pmarima.arima.auto_arima, seasonality chosen by trial-and-error.
No exogenous values were used.
Final model: SARIMAX(2, 0, 1).

3. Case fatality rate forecast for years 2020-2022

Used the SARIMAX model for its simplicity and interpretability for time series data.
Parameter tuning was done with pmarima.arima.auto_arima, seasonality chosen by trial-and-error.
Data about vaccine doses, people vaccinated, tests and booster doses were used as exogenous values..
Final model: SARIMAX(0, 2, 1)x(0, 0, 1, 7).